Weather Outlook

NCMRWF,7/26/2007

Weather outlook

NCMRWF,7/13/2007

Weather Outlook

NCMRWF,7/11/2007

• Yesterday’s low pressure area over southeast Rajasthan and neighbourhood has become less marked. However, associated cyclonic circulations extending upto mid-tropospheric level lies over central Rajasthan & neighbourhood. Under its influence, fairly widespread rainfalls with isolated heavy fall are likely over south Rajasthan and Gujarat region during next 24 hrs. and decrease thereafter.

• The current meteorological analysis suggests that fairly widespread rainfalls with isolated heavy to very heavy fall are likely over northeast India, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and Bihar during next 2-3 days

• Numerical Weather Prediction Models suggest the formation of a low pressure area over north Bay of Bengal around 14th July causing increase in rainfall activity over Orissa and Gangetic West Bengal during subsequent 48 hours.

• Chief amounts of rainfall (above 6 cms.) : Mayabandar-16, Long Island-14 and Baroda-9 .

Weather Outlook

NCMRWF,7/10/2007

• The depression over northwest Madhya Pradesh weakened into a well marked low pressure area and lay over northwest Madhya Pradesh and adjoining east Rajasthan at 1730 hours IST of yesterday, the 9th July 2007. It now lies as a low pressure area over southeast Rajasthan and neighbourhood.

• Under its influence, widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls are likely over east Rajasthan and Gujarat region during next 48 hrs. Fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls are also likely over Saurashtra & Kutch and West Rajasthan during the same period.

• The current meteorological analysis suggests that fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls are likely over northeast India, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and Bihar during next 2-3 days.

• Numerical Weather Prediction Models suggests the formation of a low pressure area over north Bay of Bengal around 14th July causing increase in rainfall activity over Orissa and Gangetic West Bengal during subsequent 48 hours.

Weather Forecast

NCMRWF,7/3/2007

• Yesterday’s low pressure area over southeast Rajasthan and adjoining West Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat region now lies over south Rajasthan & neighbourhood. Under its influence, widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy fall and isolated extremely heavy fall is likely to continue over Gujarat during next 24 hrs. and decrease thereafter. Fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls are also likely over Konkan, north Madhya Maharashtra, southwest Madhya Pradesh and south Rajasthan during next 48 hours and decrease thereafter.

• A fresh low pressure area has formed over northeast Bay of Bengal and neighbourhood. It is likely to cause widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls over Gangetic West Bengal during next 2-3 days which will also extend into north Orissa and Jharkhand during the same period.

• The current meteorological analysis suggests fairly widespread rainfall over Western Himalayan region and Indo-Gangetic plains during next 3 days.

• The chief amount of rainfall (above 7 cms.):Bhira-29, Mahabaleshwar-20, Diamond Harbour & Kolkata(Dum-Dum) -17 each, Kolkata (ALP)-16,Kozikode-15,Okha-14, Nasik-13,Rajkot-10, Ahemdabad,Mayabandar,Mumbai (CLB), Bhuj & Pune-9 each & Dwarka-8.

Weather Forecast

NCMRWF,7/1/2007

• Yesterday’s well marked low pressure area over East Madhya Pradesh & adjoining West Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha now lies over southwest Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood. During past 24 hours, widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy fall and isolated extremely heavy falls (>25 cms) has occurred over Vidarbha, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and Gujarat region.

• The current meteorological analysis suggests that widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy fall is likely over Konkan & Goa including Mumbai, Madhya Maharashtra and Gujarat State till tomorrow and decrease thereafter. Isolated extremely heavy fall (> 25 cms) are also likely over Gujarat region till tomorrow and decrease thereafter.

• Isolated heavy rainfall is also likely over southwest Madhya Pradesh & adjoining southeast Rajasthan during next 24 hours.

• Chief amounts of rainfall ( 7 cms. & above) : Mumbai (SCZ)-26, Bhira-24, Madikeri-20, Nagpur-12, Mahabaleshwar & Dharavi-16 each and Vallabh Vidyanagar-8.

WEATHER OUTLOOK

NCMRWF,6/29/2007

• Yesterday’s deep depression crossed Orissa coast near Puri and lay centered at 0830 hours IST of today east of Bhubaneshwar. The system is likely to move in a northwesterly direction and weaken gradually.

• Under its influence, widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls and isolated extremely heavy falls (> 25 cms) are likely over Andhra Pradesh and Orissa during next 24 hours and over Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha and East Madhya Pradesh from tomorrow onwards for another 24 hours. As the system is likely to move northwestwards, the enhanced rainfall belt with scattered heavy to very heavy falls and isolated extremely heavy falls (> 25 cms) is likely to shift to southwest Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat state on 1st & 2nd July.

• Under the influence of an off shore trough and strong low level jet over Arabian Sea, widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls and isolated extremely heavy falls (> 25 cms.) are likely over Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra during next 48 hours. This enhanced rainfall activity is likely to continue over this region till 2nd July due to approach of the present system over Orissa.

NCMRWF,6/25/2007

• Southwest monsoon has further advanced into the remaining parts of Gujarat, some parts of southeast Rajasthan and south Madhya Pradesh, some more parts of Chhattisgarh and remaining parts of Vidarbha, Orissa and Jharkhand.

• Northern limit of monsoon passes through lat. 25.0 °N/ long. 60.0 E°, lat. 25.0 °N/ long. 65.0 E°, Deesa, Idar, Hoshangabad, Pendra, Ambikapur, Varanasi, Sultanpur, Baharaich and Mukteshwar.

• Numerical Weather Prediction models continue to suggest formation of a fresh low pressure area over northwest Bay of Bengal off Orissa coast by tomorrow. Subsequently, the system is likely to concentrate into a depression. Widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls are likely over Orissa during next 1-2 days. Subsequently, the rainfall activity is likely to enhance further over Orissa and also extend into adjoining north Andhra Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha and Madhya Pradesh.

• The current meteorological analysis suggest that scattered rain/thundershowers are likely over Western Himalayan region during next 3 days. Isolated to scattered rain/thundershowers are also likely over plains of northwest India.

• The well marked low pressure area over northeast Arabian Sea concentrated into a depression and lay centred at 0300 UTC of today, the 25th June 2007, near lat. 23.5 °N and long. 67.5 E°, about 150 km west-northwest of Naliya. The sytem is likely to intensify further and move in a west-northwesterly direction initially.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,6/21/2007

• As predicted, yesterday’s well marked low pressure area over east-central & adjoining west-central Bay of Bengal has concentrate into a depression and lay centered at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 21st June 2007 over west-central Bay of Bengal near Lat. 15.5 N/ Long 86.0 E about 430 km east-southeast of Kakinada. The system is likely to intensify further and move in a west-northwesterly direction and cross north Andhra Pradesh coast between Narsapur and Vishakhapatnam by tomorrow afternoon.

• Under its influence, widespread rains with scattered heavy to very heavy falls are likely over Andhra Pradesh, north coastal Tamil Nadu and Puducherry during next 48 hours. Isolated extremely heavy rains (> 25 cm) are also likely over central districts of Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Telangana during the same period. Subsequently, with the likely west-northwestward movement of the system, the enhanced rainfall belt is likely to shift to Maharashtra, Goa, Karnataka, south Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and southeast Rajasthan during 23 to 26 June.

• Southwest monsoon is likely to advance further into remaining parts of Orissa, Chhattisgarh & Maharashtra, entire Gujarat and parts of Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan during next 4-5 days.

• Under the influence of an off-shore trough widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls are likely to continue along the west coast during next 4-5 days.

WEATHER OUTLOOK

NCMRWF,6/20/2007

• Yesterday’s low pressure area now lies over east-central & adjoining west-central Bay of Bengal and has become well marked. It is likely to concentrate into a depression by tomorrow and move in a west-northwesterly direction across north Andhra Pradesh, Vidarbha, Madhya Maharashtra and Gujarat.

• Under its influence, Widespread rains with scattered heavy to very heavy falls are likely over Andhra Pradesh, south Orissa, south Chhattisgarh and Vidarbha during 21 to 23 June. Subsequently, with the likely west-northwestwards movement of the system, the enhanced rainfall belt is likely to shift to rest Maharashtra, Goa, Karnataka, south Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and southeast Rajasthan during 23 to 26 June.

• Isolated extremely heavy rains of more than 25 cm are also likely over Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Vidarbha during 21 to 23 June and over Coastal Karnataka, rest Maharashtra including Mumbai, Goa and Gujarat during 23 to 26 June.

• In association with the above system, southwest monsoon is likely to advance further into remaining parts of Orissa, Chhattisgarh & Maharashtra, entire Gujarat and parts of Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan during next 5 days.

• Under the influence of an active off-shore trough widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls are likely to continue along the west coast during next 4-5 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,6/19/2007

• A low pressure area has formed over east-central Bay of Bengal. It is likely to concentrate into a depression by tomorrow. Under its influence, rainfall activity is likely to increase over Andhra Pradesh, Orissa and south Chhattisgarh during 21st and 22nd. Subsequently, with the likely west-northwestwards movement of the system, the enhanced rainfall belt is likely to shift to Maharashtra, Goa, Karnataka, south Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat during 23rd to 25th June.

• In association with the above system, southwest monsoon is likely to advance further into remaining parts of Orissa, Chhattisgarh & Maharashtra, some parts of Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat during next 5 days.

• Under the influence of an active off-shore trough widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls is likely to continue along the west coast during next 4-5 days.

• Ongoing rainfall activity over the northwest India and Rajasthan is likely to decrease from tomorrow onwards.

• The rainfall activity over northeastern states and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim is likely to subside from tomorrow onwards.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,6/14/2007

• Southwest monsoon has further advanced into some more parts of Telangana, remaining parts of Coastal Andhra Pradesh, northwest Bay of Bengal & Gangetic West Bengal, some parts of Chhattisgarh, Orissa, Jharkhand and East Uttar Pradesh and some more parts of Bihar. Today, Northern limit of monsoon passes through lat. 16.0 °N/ long. 60.0 E°, lat. 16.0 °N/ long. 70.0 E°, Vengurla, Gulbarga, Nizamabad, Ramagundam, Gopalpur, Balasore, Ranchi, Gaya and Gorakhpur.

• Model prediction suggests that the conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon over remaining parts of Konkan & Goa and many parts of Madhya Maharashtra, remaining parts of Orissa, Jharkhand and east Uttar Pradesh and some parts of west U.P. and Chhattisgarh during next 5 days. Ongoing rainfall along west coast is likely to enhance.

• Model predictions suggest that a western disturbance is likely to affect over hilly regions of NW India during 15-16 June07. Under its influence, J&K, H.P., Uttarakhand and parts of adjoining plains of Haryana and Uttar Pradesh are likely to receive showers.

• Model predictions suggest that the temperatures over most parts of plains of north India and central India are likely to remain near normal during next 4-5 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,6/13/2007

• Southwest monsoon has further advanced into some more parts of central Arabian Sea, Konkan & Goa, entire Tamil Nadu, Rayalaseema, South Interior Karnataka, most parts of North Interior Karnataka, Telangana and Coastal Andhra Pradesh, entire southwest & west-central Bay of Bengal, some more parts of northwest Bay of Bengal, some parts of Gangetic West Bengal and some more parts of Bihar. Today, northern limit of monsoon passes through lat. 16.0 °N/ long. 60.0 E°, lat. 16.0 °N/ long. 70.0 E°, Vengurla, Gulbarga, Nizamabad, Vishakhapatnam, lat. 20.0 °N/ long. 87.0 E°, Digha, Bankura, Bhagalpur and Raxol.

• Model prediction suggests that the conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon over remaining parts of Konkan & Goa and many parts of Madhya Maharashtra, Bihar, Orissa, Jharkhand and parts of east Uttar Pradesh during next 5 days. Ongoing rainfall along west coast is likely to enhance.

• Model predictions suggest that a western disturbance is likely to affect over hilly regions of NW India during 15-16 June07. Under its influence, J&K, H.P., Uttarakhand and parts of adjoining plains of Haryana and Uttar Pradesh are likely to receive showers.

• Model predictions suggest that the temperatures over most parts of plains of north India and central India are likely to remain near normal during next 4-5 days.

WEATHERFORECAST

NCMRWF,6/12/2007

• Predictions suggest that the conditions are favourable for further advancement of southwest monsoon into some parts of Konkan & Goa & south Madhya Maharashtra and some more parts of interior peninsula & east India during next 3-4 days.

• Numerical Weather Prediction Models suggests increase of ongoing rainfall activity along the west coast and east India during next 3-4days.

• Enhanced rainfall activity with heavy to very heavy fall is likely to continue over northeastern states during next 3-4 days.

• At present, a western disturbance is moving across J&K and H.P. in an eastward direction. Model prediction suggest that another W.D. is likely to approach J&K during 15-16June07.

• Model predictions suggest that the temperatures over most parts of plains of north India and central India are likely to remain near normal during next 3-4 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,6/11/2007

• Southwest monsoon has further advanced into some more parts of northwest Bay of Bengal, entire Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and some parts of Bihar. Model prediction suggest that conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon into some more parts of Bihar, some parts of Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal during next 2-3 days.

• An off-shore trough extending from Karnataka coast to Kerala coast. Under its influence fairly widespread rainfall activity is likely over Kerala, coastal Karnataka, Lakshadweep during next 2-3 days.

• Enhanced rainfall activity with heavy to very heavy fall is likely to continue over northeastern states during next 3-4 days.

• Model prediction suggest that heat wave condition is likely abate over plains of north India during next 3 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,6/8/2007

• Models predictions suggest that with the increased mean sea level pressure gradient along west coast, monsoon is likely to progress over Konkan & Goa, parts of Madhya Maharashtra and some more parts of Peninsular India during next 4-5 days. Monsoon is likely to cover entire NE states, Sikkim and parts of West Bengal during 2-3 days.

• An off-shore trough lies extending from Karnataka coast to Kerala Under the influence of coast enhanced rainfall activity is likely over Kerala, coastal Karnataka, Lakshadweep during next 3 days. The ongoing rainfall activity over remaining parts of Peninsula, adjoining Maharashtra and Goa is likely to increase during same period.

• Model predictions suggest that both the day and night temperatures are likely to increase over plains of northwest India and central India during next 2days. Heat wave conditions over the many parts of these regions is likely to continue during next 2 days. Thereafter fall in temperatures is likely due to possibility of dust storm/thunderstorm for 2 days. Subsequently increase in temperature shall be realized.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,6/7/2007

• The numerical models suggest increase in mean sea level pressure gradient along west coast and that the monsoon flow may re-develop and strengthen over Arabian Sea, south peninsula and Bay of Bengal after from 9th June. With theses conditions, monsoon is likely to progress over parts of Peninsular India after 24-48 Hrs.

• Predictions also suggest that onset of monsoon is expected over NE States during next 2-3 days.

• Model predictions suggest that the day temperatures are likely to increase over most parts of northwest India during next 3 days causing Heat wave condition over many of its parts.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,6/6/2007

• The Severe Cyclonic Storm (GONU) over northwest Arabian Sea moved west-northwestwards and lay centered at 0830 hrs. IST of today, the 6th June 2007 near Lat. 23.0 °N and Long. 59.0°E over land in OMAN.

• The numerical models suggest that the monsoon flow may re-develop subsequently over the Arabian sea after 2 days. Under its influence, rainfall is likely to enhance over peninsula.

• Predictions also suggest that onset of monsoon is expected over NE States during next 2-3 days.

• Prevailing heat wave conditions over Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Orissa and Vidarbha have abated. Predictions suggest that the day temperatures are likely to increase over northwest India during next 2-3 days causing Heat wave condition over many of its parts.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,6/5/2007

• Yesterday’s very severe cyclonic storm (GONU) over east-central Arabian Sea moved west-northwestward. Today it lies centered at distance 750 KM west-southwest of DWARKA. It is further likely to weaken and move away in northwestward direction towards north of Oman coast in next 24 Hrs. Cyclone is likely to weaken significantly after crossing the Oman coast.

• The numerical models suggest that after the cyclone weakens and cross Oman coast, the monsoon flow may re-develop subsequently over the Arabian sea after 2 days.

• Predictions also suggest that around this time, a north-south trough in middle tropospheric westerlies get anchored over NE states longitudes, helping accentuation of rains over the region. Under the combined influence this trough and re-development of monsoon flow, it is expected that rainfall to be increased over peninsula and onset of monsoon may also take place over NE States after 3 days.

• Heat wave conditions continued over some parts of Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Orissa and Vidarbha. They are likely to abate during next 1-2 days. Heat wave conditions over East Uttar Pradesh, East Madhya Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi have abated. Models suggest that temperatures over plains of NW India and parts of central India are likely to increase gradually after 24 Hrs.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,6/2/2007

• Yesterday’s well marked low pressure area over east-central Arabian Sea has intensified into a deep depression and lay centred at 0830 hrs. IST of today, the 2nd June 2007 near lat. 15.0 °N and long. 67.5°E about 700 kms southwest of Mumbai. The system is likely to intensify further and move slowly in a west-northwesterly direction. It is not likely to affect Indian coast

• An off shore trough along west coast form east central Arabian Sea to southeast Arabian sea persists. Under its influence, fairly wide spread rainfall with isolated heavy rain is likely to continue over Kerala, Coastal Karnataka and Lakshadweep during next 48 hrs.

• Ongoing rainfall over NE states is likely to continue during next 3 days and enhance subsequently.

• Heat wave conditions are prevailing over Bihar and adjoining West Bengal. They are likely to continue during next 2-3 days and may extend into some more parts of northeast. Day temperatures are also likely to increase over northwest & central India.

Weather Forecast

NCMRWF,6/2/2007

• Yesterday’s well marked low pressure area over southeast Rajasthan and adjoining West Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat region has weakened into a low pressure area over the same region.

• The current meteorological analysis suggests that widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy fall and isolated extremely heavy fall is likely over Gujarat till tomorrow and decrease thereafter. Fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls are also likely over Konkan, north Madhya Maharashtra, southwest Madhya Pradesh and southeast Rajasthan.

• Numerical Weather Prediction models suggest formation of a low pressure area over north Bay of Bengal around 5th July. Under its influence, rainfall activity is likely to increase over east India from 5th onwards.

• Fairly widespread rainfall is likely over Western Himalayan region during next 3 days. Scattered rain/thundershowers are also likely over plains of northwest India during the same period.

• Chief amounts of rainfall ( 7 cms. & above) : Broach-49, Mahabaleshwar-33, Balsad-24, Anand & Baroda-16 each , Daman-15, Cial Kochi & Nedumbassery-14 each, Vallabh Vidyanagar & Rajkot-13, Kottayam-11, Bhira-11, Mumbai (CLB)-11, Madikeri-9, Patna-8, Surat-8, Pune, Dehradun & Karipur-7 each.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,6/1/2007

• A low pressure area (LOPAR) has developed over east central Arabian Sea. Model predictions suggest that the LOPAR is likely to intensify into depression and move in north-west direction.

• An off shore trough persists along west coast form east central Arabian Sea to southeast Arabian sea. Under its influence, fairly wide spread rainfall with isolated heavy rain is likely to continue over Kerala, Coastal Karnataka and Lakshadweep during next 2-3 days.

• Ongoing rainfall over NE states is likely to continue during next 2-3 days and enhance subsequently.

• Heat wave conditions are prevailing over Bihar and adjoining West Bengal. They are likely to continue during next 2-3 days and may extend into some more parts of northeast. Day temperatures are also likely to increase over northwest & central India.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,6/1/2007

• An off-shore trough extending from Karnataka coast to Kerala coast persists. An embedded upper air cyclonic circulation lies in southeast Arabian Sea. Under its influence, fairly wide spread rainfall is likely to continue over Kerala, Coastal Karnataka and Lakshadweep during next 3-4 days. Monsoon is likely to further advance in next 2-3 days.

• Ongoing rainfall over NE states is likely to continue during next 2-3 days and enhance subsequently.

• With the western disturbance moved away in eastward direction. Day temperature are likely to increase over northwest India during 2 days.

• Another western disturbance is likely to affect J&K and H.P. during 2-3 May. This is likely to cause isolated to scattered rainfall over J&K, H.P. and Uttarakhand during 2-4 May.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/30/2007

• An off-shore trough extending from Karnataka coast to Kerala coast persists. Under its influence, scattered to fairly wide spread rainfall is likely to continue over Kerala, Coastal Karnataka and Lakshadweep during next 3-4 days.

• Present western disturbance is moving away in eastward direction. With this rainfall activities over northwest India are likely to decrease from tomorrow. Day temperature are likely to increase over northwest India from tomorrow for subsequent 2 days.

• Another western disturbance is likely to affect J&K and H.P. during 2-3 May. This is likely to cause isolated to scattered rainfall over J&K & H.P. during 2-3 May.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/29/2007

• As predicted southwest monsoon has further advanced into some parts of central Arabian Sea, most parts of coastal Karnataka, some parts of South Interior Karnataka and some more parts of Tamil Nadu and south Bay of Bengal. The northern limit of monsoon passes through Lat. 14° N / Long. 60° E, Lat. 14° N / Long. 70° E, Karwar, Chitradurg, Pamban, Lat. 10° N / Long. 85°, Lat. 13° N / Long. 90° E, Lat. 15° N / Long. 92° E, and Lat. 17° N / Long. 95° E.

• Model prediction suggest that conditions are favorable for further advance of southwest monsoon into some parts of Konkan & Goa and some more parts of Interior Karnataka and Tamil Nadu during next 2 days.

• The present western disturbance is moving eastwards, rainfall activities over northwest India are likely to decrease from tomorrow. Day temperature are likely to increase over northwest India during next 3-4 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/28/2007

• Southwest monsoon has set in over Kerala today, the 28th May 2007. The northern limit of monsoon passes through Lat. 12° N / Long. 60° E, Lat. 12° N / Long. 70° E, Kannur, Palakkad, Kanyakumari, Lat. 8° N / Long. 79°, Lat. 9° N / Long. 83°, Lat. 13° N / Long. 90° E, Lat. 15° N / Long. 92° E, and Lat. 17° N / Long. 95° E.

• Model prediction suggesrt that conditions are favorable for further advance of southwest monsoon over some more parts of south Arabian Sea, some parts of coastal and south interior Karnataka, some more parts of Tamil Nadu and south Bay of Bengal.

• Under the influence of persistent western disturbance, scattered light rain/thundershowers are likely over northwest India till tomorrow and decrease thereafter.

• With the advancement of monsoon widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls are likely to continue over Kerala during next 2 days. The ongoing rainfall activity over coastal and south interior Karnataka and Tamil Nadu are likely to enhance during the same period . Fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls are likely over northeastern states during next 2-3 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/25/2007

• Model prediction suggest that western disturbance is likely to keep affecting hilly regions of NW India during next 2-3 days. Under its influence, scattered to fairly widespread rain/thundershowers are likely over Jammu & Kashmir during next 3 days. Isolated to scattered duststorm/ thunderstorm accompanied with squall is also likely over plains of northwest India, Punjab, north Rajasthan, Haryana, Delhi and west Uttar Pradesh during the same period.

• Fall in day temperatures by 2-3 degree C is likely over NW India during next 2-3 days.

• Ongoing rainfall over Sub Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim and northeastern States is likely to continue in next 24-48 Hrs. and reduce thereafter.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/23/2007

• Model prediction suggest that a western disturbance is likely to affect hilly regions of NW India during 26-27 May. Under its influence, scattered rainfall is likely over J&K, H.P. and Uttranchal and isolated thundershower/rain over Punjab, Haryana and west U.P. during 26-27 May

• Ongoing fairly wide spread rainfall/thundershower with isolated heavy shower activity over Sub Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim and northeastern States is likely to continue during next 24-36 hrs and decrease thereafter.

• Present heat wave condition over Coastal Andhra Pradesh is likely to abate during next 24-48 Hrs.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/22/2007

• Model prediction suggest that scattered rain/thundershower activity are likely over Western Himalayan region during next 24-48 Hrs. under the influence of a western disturbance. Isolated to scattered dust storm/thundershower accompanied with squall is also likely over plains of northwest India during next 24-48 Hrs.

• Another W.D. is likely to affect hilly regions of NW India during 26-27 May. Under its influence, scattered rainfall is likely over J&K, H.P. and Uttranchal and isolated thundershower/rain over Punjab, Haryana and west U.P. during 26-27 May

• Ongoing fairly wide spread rainfall/thundershower activity over Sub Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim and northeastern States is likely to continue during next 24 hrs and decrease thereafter.

• Present heat wave condition over Coastal Andhra Pradesh is likely to abate during next 1-2 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/21/2007

• The northern limit of monsoon passes through Lat. 5.0° N /Long. 86.0° E, Lat. 11.0° N /Long. 89.0° E, Lat. 15.0° N /Long. 92.0° E and 17.0° N /Long. 95.0° E

• Under the influence of western disturbance, scattered rain/thundershower activity are likely over Western Himalayan region during 21-22nd May. Isolated to scattered dust storm/thundershower accompanied with squall is also likely over plains of northwest India during next 2-3 days.

• Model prediction suggests that ongoing fairly wide spread rainfall activity over northeastern States is likely to continue during next 48 hrs then decrease thereafter .

• Present heat wave condition over Coastal Andhra Pradesh is likely to abate during next 1-2 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/16/2007

• During past 24 hours, widespread rainfall has occurred over northeastern States. The enhanced rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls are likely over northeastern States during next 2 days.

• Under the influence of a upper air westerly trough, isolated to scattered dust storm/thunderstorm accompanied with squall/hail is likely over parts of northwest India during next 24-48 Hrs.

• Model prediction suggests that heat wave conditions are likely to continue over coastal A.P. and north Tamilnadu during next 2-3 days.

• A western disturbance is Heat wave likely to affect hilly regions of NW India during 19-20 May.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/15/2007

• Yesterday’s Cyclonic Storm (AKASH) over east central Bay of Bengal moved north-northeastwards and crossed south Bangladesh coast close to Cox’s Bazar early morning of today. The system has rapidly weakened and now lies as a depression at 0830 hours IST of today over Bangladesh with its centre about 100 km south-southwest of Aijwal. It is likely to move in a north-northeasterly direction and weaken further.

• During past 24 hours, widespread rainfall has occurred over northeastern States. The enhanced rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls is likely over northeastern States till tomorrow and decrease thereafter.

• Under the influence of a upper air westerly trough, isolated to scattered dust storm/thunderstorm accompanied with squall/hail is likely over parts of northwest India during next 2-3 days.

• Heat wave conditions prevailed over coastal areas of Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu and are likely to continue during next 48 hours.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/14/2007

• The deep depression over eastcentral Bay of Bengal intensified into a Cyclonic Storm (AKASH) and lay centred at 0830 hours 1ST of today, the 14th May, 2007 near Lat. 16.5° N & Long. 91.0° E about 750 kms southeast of Kolkata. It is likely to intensify further and move in a north-northeasterly direction and cross south Bangladesh and adjoining north Arakan coast by tomorrow afternoon.

• Under the influence of an approaching western disturbance, isolated to scattered dust storm/thunderstorm accompanied with squall/hail is likely over parts of northwest India during next 3 days.

• Model predictions suggests fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls is likely over Andaman Nicobar Islands and northeastern states during next 24-48 Hrs.

• Predictions suggest that an early onset of monsoon is likely over Kerala. The forecast Model Suggests that the monsoon onset over Kerala is likely to be on 24th May 2007 with a model error of ±3 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/13/2007

• Yesterday’s low pressure area over east central Bay of Bengal and neighbourhood intensified into a depression and lay centred at 0830 hours IST of today the 13th May 2007 near Lat. 15.0° N & Long. 90.5° E about 400 km northwest of Port Blair. The system is likely to intensify further and move in a northerly direction.

• Conditions are favorable for further advance of Southwest monsoon over some parts of southwest Bay of Bengal & some more parts of southeast & eastcentral Bay of Bengal and most parts of Andaman sea during next 48 hours.

• Model predictions suggests fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls is likely over Andaman Nicobar Islands and northeastern states during next 2-3 days.

• Prevailing heat wave conditions over south Coastal Andhra Pradesh, north coastal Tamil Nadu and isolated pockets Vidarbha are likely to continue during next 48 hours.

• A westerly trough is likely to affect hilly region of NW India during 16-17 May07.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/11/2007

• Southwest monsoon has further advanced into some parts of southeast Bay of Bengal and Andaman Sea. The northern limit of monsoon passes through Lat. 5.0° N /Long. 86.0° E, Lat. 11.0° N /Long. 90.0° E, Maya Bandar, Lat. 14.0° N /Long. 97.0° E.. Conditions are favorable for further advancement of southwest monsoon over some more parts of Andaman Sea and southeast Bay of Bengal during next 24 hrs.

• A low pressure area has formed over east central Bay of Bengal and neighbourhood. Model predictions suggest that the system is likely to intensify and concentrate into a depression by 13 May with possibility of its slight movement in westward direction.

• A trough in westerlies is also likely to affect hilly regions of NW India in next 24-36 Hrs. It may cause scattered rain/thundershowers over hilly regions of NW India.

• Scattered rain/thundershowers are likely over WB, Sikkim and Orissa during next 24 hrs. and decrease thereafter. Model predictions indicate the likely enhancement of rain/thundershower over northeastern States during next 4 days.

• Yesterday highest day temperature of 45.5° C was recorded at Shivpuri in Madhya Pradesh.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/10/2007

• As models predicted, southwest monsoon has set in over parts of southeast Bay of Bengal, Nicobar islands and Andaman Sea. The northern limit of monsoon passes through Lat. 5.0° N /Long. 86.0° E, Lat. 8.0° N /Long. 90.0° E, Car Nicobar, Lat. 11.0° N /Long. 96.0° E and Lat. 12.0° N /Long. 98.0° E, today. Conditions are favorable for further advancement of southwest monsoon over some more parts of Andaman Sea and southeast Bay of Bengal during next 48 hrs.

• A low pressure area is likely to form over east central Bay of Bengal within next 24-36 Hrs. There is possibility of its slight movement in westward direction and intensification.

• A trough in westerlies is also likely to approach over hilly regions of NW India in next 24-36 Hrs. It may cause scattered rain/thundershowers over hilly regions of NW India.

• Scattered rain/thundershowers are likely over WB, Sikkim and Orissa during next 24 hrs. and decrease thereafter. Model predictions indicate the likely enhancement of rain/thundershower over northeastern States during next 5 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/9/2007

• Model predictions indicate that conditions like cross equatorial flow are becoming consistently favourable for monsoon onset over southeast Bay of Bengal and south Andaman Sea within next 72 hours.

• A low pressure area is likely to form on 12 May over east central Bay of Bengal. Model predictions indicate strengthening of winds over central Bay in lower and middle troposphere on 13 May onwards. The low pressure area is likely to intensify and show only little westward movement.

• A trough in westerlies is likely to approach NW India around 12 May causing scattered rain/thundershowers over hilly regions of NW India.

• Scattered rain/thundershowers are likely over WB, Sikkim and Orissa during next 24 hrs. and decrease thereafter. Model predictions indicate the likely enhancement of rain/thundershower over northeastern States during next 5 days.

• Highest maximum temperature of 44.4°C was recorded at Ganganagar in Rajasthan during past 24 hrs.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/8/2007

• Presently a western disturbance is lying over Jammu & Kashmir. Under its influence, scattered rain/thundershowers is likely over Western Himalayan region during next 24 hours. Isolated duststorm/thunderstorm is also likely over plains of northwest India and Rajasthan.

• Model prediction suggests another weak western disturbance likely to approach NW India around 12-13 May 2007.

• The prevailing heat wave conditions over some parts of West Rajasthan is likely to continue for next 48 hours.

• Ongoing scattered rain/thunderstorm activity over eastern parts of the country is likely to continue for another 24 hours. Model predictions indicate the ongoing activity likely to increase over northeastern States from 10th.

• The highest maximum temperature of 44.9°C was recorded at Ganganagar and Barmer both in Rajasthan during past 24 hrs.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,5/7/2007

• Presently an upper air cyclonic circulation lies over Punjab and neighbourhood with a trough extending upto southeast Rajasthan. Under this scenario, isolated rain/thundershowers is likely over northwest India and adjoining Rajasthan during next 24-36 hours. Consequently day temperatures are likely to fall over this region leading to abatement of the prevailing heat wave conditions over parts of Rajasthan. A western disturbance is likely to affect J&K and adjoining region during next 24-36 Hrs.

• Model prediction suggests another western disturbance likely to approach NW India around 12 May 2007.

• Under the influence of upper air cyclonic circulations over Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh, scattered rain/thundershowers accompanied with isolated squall is likely over eastern parts of the country during next 48 hours and decrease thereafter.

• NE states are likely to receive sacattered to fairly widespread rain/thundershower from during next 3-4 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,4/27/2007

• Model predictions suggest that the temperatures are likely to be above normal over NW and parts of central India. Heat wave conditions may cover some more parts of NW, east and central India during next 3 days.

• Model predictions suggest that a western disturbance may approach J&K region around during 29-30 April. Under its influence J&K and H.P. may receive scattered rain on 29-30th April.

• Ongoing fairly widespread rain over NE states is expected to reduce from tomorrow.

• South Tamilnadu, Kerala and costal Karnataka are expected to receive scattered rain during 28-29 April.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,4/25/2007

• Day temperatures continued to remain above normal by 2-4°C over many parts of northwest India. Model prediction suggest that Heat wave conditions may also develop over some parts northwest India during next 3-4 days.

• The numerical weather prediction models suggest that a north–south oriented trough extending from Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim to north Bay of Bengal is likely to persist for next 2 days. Under its influence, ongoing fairly widespread with isolated heavy falls is likely to continue over Northeastern States during next 2 days then decrease thereafter.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,4/24/2007

• Model prediction suggest that the day temperatures are likely to remain above normal with heat wave conditions in some areas of northwest, east and central India during next 2-3 days.

• The numerical weather prediction models suggest that a north–south oriented trough extending from Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim to north Bay of Bengal is likely to persist for next 3-4 days. Under its influence, ongoing fairly widespread to widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls is likely to continue over northeastern States.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,4/23/2007

• Heat wave conditions prevailed over some parts of north Rajasthan and adjoining Punjab where the day temperatures are 5°C above normal. The day temperatures are 2-3°C above normal over remaining parts of northwest India, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh and West Madhya Pradesh. Model predictions suggest that similar temperature scenario over these regions is likely to continue during next 2-3 days.

• The numerical weather prediction models suggest that a north–south oriented trough extending from Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim to north Bay of Bengal is likely to persist for next 4-5 days. Under its influence, ongoing fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls is likely to continue over northeastern States.

• Models predictions suggest that there may possibility of formation of cyclonic circulation over southeast Bay of Bengal around 25th April.

• At present a weak western disturbance is moving in eastward direction across Jammu & Kashmir.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,4/22/2007

• The day temperatures are likely to increase gradually over northwest India, Rajasthan and Gujarat during next 2-3 days.

• Model prediction suggest that on going widespread rain/thundershower with isolated heavy falls are likely over northeastern States during next 2-3 days. Isolated to scattered rain/thundershower is likely over eastern parts of India during next 2-3days.

• Models predictions suggest that a low pressure area may develop over southeast Bay of Bengal around during 24-25 April and move in westward direction.

• A weak western disturbance is likely to affect J&K and adjoining hilly region of NW India on 23rd April

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,4/18/2007

• As predicted, Isolated to scattered rain/thundershower occurred over parts of Western Himalayan region, Indo-Gangetic plains ,south Peninsula, Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh during past 24 hrs. Chief amount of rainfall (in cms.): Ludhina-3, Tondi & Tiruchirapally –2 each; Satara , Baharaich, Gorakhpur, Dehradur, Tehri, Ambala, Shimal, Sundernagar, Port Blair, Akola, Mysore, Bhadrachalam & Cuddalore –1 each

• Model prediction suggest that Isolated to scattered rainfall/thundershower are likely over J&K, H.P. , Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi , U.P. during next 24 hrs.

• Heat wave conditions over northwest India is likely to abate from today.

• Thunderstorm activities over northeastern States are likely to enhanced during next 2-3 days .

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,4/17/2007

• Presently a western disturbance lies over north Pakistan and adjoining area . A cyclonic circulation also lies over Haryana and adjoining area. Under its influence scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/thundershower are likely over J&K, H.P. and Uttarakhand during next 2-3 days. Scattered rainfall/ thundershower are also expected over Punjab, Haryana, Delhi and west U.P. during 18-19 April,07.

• Heat wave conditions continued to prevail over many parts of Rajasthan and isolated pockets of Punjab, Haryana and West Madhya Pradesh. The model prediction suggest that day temperatures are likely to fall and may cause respite from the prevailing heat wave conditions in coming 2 days.

• Isolated to scattered rain/thundershower is also likely over south Peninsula, east coast and over northeastern States during next 2-3 days

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,4/16/2007

• Heat wave conditions continued to prevail over many parts of Rajasthan & Punjab and some parts of Haryana, Jammu division of Jammu & Kashmir and West Madhya Pradesh. The day temperatures over above regions are 5-6°C above normal.

• Models predictions suggest that a weak western disturbance is likely to approach J&K and adjoining after 24-36 Hrs. With this J&K, H.P. and Uttarakhand are likely to receive scattered to fairly widespread rain and parts of adjoining plains viz. Haryana, Delhi and west U.P. are likely to receive isolated thundershowers during 18-19 April.

• Isolated to scattered rain/thundershower is also likely over south Peninsula, east coast and over northeastern States during next 2-3 days

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,4/12/2007

• Yesterday’s low pressure area over Gulf of Mannar and neighbourhood, at present lies over Sri Lanka and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal. Model prediction suggests that, scattered rain/thundershower are likely over extreme south peninsula during 2-3 days.

• During past 24 hours, light to moderate scattered rain/thundershowers have occurred over northeastern States and south Peninsula. Predictions suggest that fairly widespread rain/thundershowers are likely over northeastern states with isolated heavy falls over Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura during next 24 hours. With the likely weakening and eastwards movement of the trough, the ongoing rainfall activity over northeastern States is likely to decrease after tomorrow.

• As model prediction suggested, heat wave conditions are prevailing over some pockets of Rajasthan and Haryana. With the likely gradual rise in day temperatures, heat wave conditions are likely to develop over some parts of northwest and adjoining central India during next 3-4 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,4/11/2007

• Widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls have occurred over northeastern states during past 24 hours. Fairly widespread rainfall have also occurred over south Tamil Nadu & Kerala. Chief amount of rainfall (3 cms & more):Agartala-20, Kochi-10, Palayamkottai-5,kanyakumari & Tadong-4 each,Jorhat, Cherrapunji, Imphal, Alapuzha & Trivendrum City-3 each

• A low pressure area lies over Gulf of Mannar and neighbourhood. It is likely to intensify further . Under its influence, fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy fall is likely over south Tamilnadu, Kerala and Lakshadweep during next 48 Hrs.

• Heat wave conditions have developed over some parts of Rajasthan . Model prediction suggest that heat wave are likely to continue and extend into some more parts of Rajasthan, Haryana, West Uttar Pradesh West Madhya Pradesh during next 2-3 days.

• Present thunershower/rainfall activities over Northeast States are likely to continue during next 4-5 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,4/10/2007

• Yesterday’s low pressure area over SW Bay of Bengal lies as an upper air cyclonic circulation(CYCIR) near Srilanka at present. Models predictions suggest that there is possibility of moving this CYCIR in a westward direction. Under its influence, fairly widespread rain is likely over south Tamilnadu, Kerala and Lakshadweep during next 24-48 Hrs.

• Moderate to rather heavy rain/thundershowers occurred at many places over northeastern States during past 24 hours. Chief amount of rainfall (in cms.):Silchar-5;Lengpui & Passighat-4 each; Palayankottai, Imphal,Thiruvananthapuram, Madurai, North Lakhimpur & Guwahati-3 each;Jorhat,Kolkata(Dum-Dum) & Kailashahar –2 each; Alapuzha,cherrapunji, Ranchi, Gangtok, Hirakud, Kolkata(ALP) & Bankura-1 each. Model predictions suggest that the ongoing rainfall activities over NE states are likely to continue during next 24-48 Hrs. and reduce thereafter.

• Model predictions suggest that the both the day and night temperatures are likely to rise gradually during next 4-5 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,4/9/2007

• Model predictions suggest that the heat wave conditions over parts of Gujarat,south Rajasthan, North Maharashtra and West Madhya Pradesh are likely to reduce marginally during next 2-3 days.

• Ongoing rainfall activities over NE states are likely to continue during next 2 days. Also, the south coastal Tamilnadu and Kerala are likely to experience scattered rainfall during next 24-48 Hrs.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,4/3/2007

• Light to moderate rain/thundershowers have occurred at a few places over northeastern States and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim during past 24 hrs. Chief amounts of rainfall (in cms.): North Lakhimpur-6, Dibrugarh-5, Tadong-4, Passighat-3, Tezpur-2 and Gangtok-2.

• Model prediction suggests that a western disturbance is likely to approach J&K and adjoining area from tomorrow onwards. Under its influence isolated to scattered snowfall/rainfall is likely over J&K , H.P. and Uttaranchal during 4-5 March,07.

• Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim to north Bay of Bengal, northeastern states are likely to experience scattered rain/thundershowers during 4-5 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,4/2/2007

• Heat wave conditions have abated from Rajasthan, Haryana, Delhi, north Maharashtra and East Uttar Pradesh. However, they still continued to prevail over some parts of north Madhya Pradesh.

• Model prediction suggests that strong northwesterly winds are likely to prevail over many parts of northwest, Central and East India. Consequently day temperature are likely to fall by 2-3 C over the above regions during next 2-3 days leading to abatement of prevailing heat wave conditions over north Madhya Pradesh also.

• Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim to north Bay of Bengal, northeastern states are likely to experience scattered rain/thundershowers during 4-5 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,3/29/2007

• Models predictions suggest that a Western Disturbance (W.D.) is likely to affect J&K and adjoining hilly region from afternoon of 30th March ,07 . Under its influence J&K, H.P. and Uttaranchal is likely to receive scattered snowfall/rainfall during 30 March - 1st April,07. Isolated to scattered rainfall is also expected over Panjab and Haryana during 31 March & 1 April,07.

• Heat wave conditions prevailed over some parts of Gujarat during past 24 hours. Model prediction suggest that the day temperatures are likely to increase further by 2-3°C over many parts of north, west and central India during next 48 hours. Consequently the heat wave conditions are likely to extend to more parts of Gujarat and also develop over some parts of south Rajasthan.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,3/28/2007

• At present, entire country is experiencing mainly dry weather conditions. Model predictions suggest that similar conditions are likely to prevail for next 3-4 days.

• Both the day and night temperatures are likely to increase by about 3 degree C during next 3-4 days over north and central India.

• Models predictions suggest that a Western Disturbance (W.D.) is likely to affect J&K and adjoining hilly region of north west India 31 March,07. Under its influence hilly region of northwest India is likely to receive scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/snowfall and isolated thundershowers over Punjab and Haryana during 31 March & 1st April,07

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,3/26/2007

• Strong northwesterly winds are prevailing over Indo-Gangetic plains for the last 3-4 days. Numerical weather prediction models suggest that the prevailing northwesterly winds at lower tropospheric levels are likely to decrease over Indo-Gangetic plains during next 3 days.

• Generally dry weather is likely to prevail over Indo-gangetic plains, northwest and central India during next 3-4 days.

• Model prediction suggest that a Western Disturbance (W.D.) is likely to approach J&K and adjoining area around 31 March,07. Under its influence hilly region of northwest India is likely to receive scattered snowfall/rainfall during 31 March & 1st April,07.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,3/24/2007

• At present most parts of the country are experiencing mainly dry weather conditions.

• Model predictions suggest that most parts of the country are likely to experience mainly dry weather during next 4-5 days except over J&K where isolated rain/snowfall is expected during 26-27 March due to a weak western disturbance.

• Predictions suggest that both the day and night temperatures are likely to increase by about 3 degree C over Indo-gangetic plains, northwest and central India during next 3 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,3/23/2007

• At present most parts of the country are experiencing mainly dry weather except over north-east states where scattered to thundershowers are occurring.

• Model predictions suggest that most parts of the country are likely to experience mainly dry weather during next 4-5 days except over hilly regions of NW India viz. J&K, H.P. and Uttarakhand where scattered snowfall/rain is expected during 25-26 March due to a western disturbance. Scattered thundershowers over north-eastern states is likely to continue during next 24-48 Hrs.

• Predictions suggest that both the day and night temperatures are likely to increase by about 3 degree C over Indo-gangetic plains, northwest and central India during next 3 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,3/19/2007

• Under the influence of a western disturbance scattered to fairly widespread precipitation is expected over J&K, H.P. and Uttrakhand during next 3-4 days. Isolated thundershowers are expected over adjoining plains of NW India viz. Punjab, Haryana(including Delhi), west U.P. and north Rajasthan with strong winds during 19-21 March and then in eastwards over east U.P. and Bihar. Parts of north M.P. are also likely to receive isolated thundershowers.

• There is a possibility of hail in some area of plains of NW India during 19-21March.

• Both the day and night temperatures are likely to increase by about 3-4 degree over NW and central India during next 2 days and fall subsequently.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,3/17/2007

• Model predictions continue to suggest that a western disturbance is likely to affect hilly regions of NW India from tomorrow the 18th March. Under its influence scattered to fairly widespread precipitation over J&K, H.P. and Uttrakhand during 18-20 March and isolated thundershowers over adjoining plains of NW India viz. Punjab, Haryana(including Delhi), west U.P. and north Rajasthan are likely with speedy winds during 19-21 March and then in eastwards over east U.P. and Bihar. Parts of north M.P. are likely to receive isolated thundershowers.

• There is possibility of hail in some area of plains of NW India during 19-21March.

• Both the day and night temperatures are likely to increase by about 3-4 degree over NW and central India during next 2 days and fall subsequently.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,3/17/2007

• Dry weather conditions are likely to prevail over Northwest , Central and East Indian region during next 24-36 Hrs. Day temperatures are likely to rise during next 2 days over Indo-Gangetic plains and central India.

• Model predictions continue to suggest western disturbance is likely to affect hilly regions of NW India during 18-21 March. Under its influence scattered to fairly widespread snow/rain is expected over J&K, H.P. and Uttrakhand during the said period. Adjoining plains of NW India viz. Punjab, Haryana, west U.P. and north Rajasthan are likely to experience isolated thundershower activity with speedy winds during 20-21 March.

• Both the day and night temperatures are likely to increase by about 2-3 degree over NW and central India during next 4-5 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,3/14/2007

• Western disturbance while moving in eastward direction caused moderate rainfall at many places over Western Himalayan region, Indo-Gangetic plains and adjoining central India during past 24 hours. Chief amounts of rainfall recorded during past 24 hours (in cm.) are: Mukteshwar and Bhuntar-4 each, Ambikapur, Quazigund, Ludhiana, Patna, Dehradun and Varanasi-3 each. Isolated to scattered snow/rainfall may continue to occur over J&K during next 24 Hrs.

• At present the westerly trough lies over eastern states. NCMRWF model predictions suggest the westerly trough to further move away in eastward direction in next 24-36 Hrs. causing fairly widespread to widespread thundershowers with isolated heavy rains over eastern & north-eastern states during next 48 Hrs. and reduce significantly thereafter.

• Another western disturbance is likely to affect hilly regions of NW India during 18-19 March. It may cause scattered to fairly widespread rain/snowfall over J&K and H.P. during 18-19 March.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,3/13/2007

• Widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls have reported over Jammu & Kashmir during past 24 hours. Moderate rain/thundershowers also occurred at many places with isolated hail/squall over plains of northwest India, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh. Chief amounts of rainfall (upto 3 cms) : Katra-26, Jammu-15, Banihal-12, Pahalgam-12, Quazigund-11, Batote-10, Srinagar-9, Bhanderwah-6, Tehri-5, Kalpa, Mukteshwar, Hissar & Kupwara-4 each, Sundar Nagar, Bhuntar, Karnal, Delhi(Sfd.) & Amritsar-3 each.

• NCMRWF model predictions suggest that a western disturbance are likely to affect northwest India on 13 & 14th March,07 . Under its influence fairly widespread to widespread snowfall/rainfall is likely over hilly regions (ie J&K , H.P. and Uttaranchal ) during next 48 hrs. Plains of northwest India ( Panjab , Haryana , Rajasthan and West Uttar Pradesh are likely to receive rainfall/ thundershower during next 24 hrs only.

• Scattered to fairly widespread rain/thundershowers accompanied with isolated hail/squall is likely over east India today & tomorrow and over northeastern States from tomorrow onwards.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,3/12/2007

• Light to moderate rain/thundershowers has occurred at many places over Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi and Rajasthan. Chief amounts of rainfall recorded during past 24 hours (in cm.) are: Batote-11, Katra-10, Bhaderwah-6, Pahalgaum-5, Srinagar-4, Bhuntar, Kalpa and Sundernagar-3 each.

• NCMRWF model predictions suggest that a western disturbance and associated induced cyclonic circulation are likely to affect northwest India on 12 & 13th March,07 . Under its influence fairly widespread to widespread precipitation is likely hilly regions and plains of northwest India ( Panjab , Haryana , Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh during next 48 hrs .

• Under the influence of the above western disturbance scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/thundershower is likely over East India and north parts of Central India on 12th & 13th March,07.

• Isolated heavy falls also likely over Western Himalayan Region and isolated hail/squall over the adjoining plains including U.P. and Bihar during 12th and 13th March,07.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,3/1/2007

• Yesterday’s western disturbance over western Himalayan region is moving in an eastward direction. Under its influence hilly regions of NW India have received fairly widespread snowfall/rain and adjoining plains scattered to fairly widespread thundershowers during past 24 Hrs. Scattered rain also occurred over Rajasthan and north M.P. Ongoing rainfall activity over NW India are likely to reduce significantly within 24 Hrs.

• Model predictions suggest that the ongoing rainfall activity is likely to shift in eastward direction. Scattered to fairly widespread thundershowers / rainfall activity is likely over East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal and NE states during next 48 Hrs.

• Coastal Karnataka and Kerala are likely to reduce isolated to scattered rain during 2-3 March.

• Model prediction suggest that another weak western disturbance is likely to affect J&K region during 3-4 March.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,2/28/2007

• Yesterday’s western disturbance still lies over western Himalayan region. Under its influence hilly regions of NW India has received widespread snowfall/rain and adjoining plains scattered to fairly widespread thundershowers during past 24 Hrs. Model predictions suggest that the ongoing rainfall activity is likely to continue over the regions during next 24 Hrs. and thereafter shift eastward.

• Subsequently, scattered thundershowers / rainfall activity is likely over East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal and NE states from tomorrow for next 2 days.

• Night temperatures are likely to be above normal during next during next 24 Hrs. and fall thereafter by about 3-4 degree C.

• Model prediction suggest that another weak western disturbance is likely to approach over J&K region on 4th March 07

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,2/27/2007

• Presently, a western Disturbance lies over J&K and adjoining area. Model prediction suggests that under its influence fairly widespread to widespread snowfall/rain with isolated heavy falls is likely over J&K, H.P. and Uttaranchal during next 36-48 Hrs. Scattered thundershowers/rain with isolated hailstorm is expected over plains of NW India viz. Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh and north Rajasthan during next 24-48 Hrs.

• Subsequently, scattered thundershowers/rainfall activity also likely over East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and West Bengal and over NE states from 1st March, 07.

• Night temperatures are likely to rise by about 3 degree C over northwest India during next 2 days and fall thereafter by about 3-4 degree C.

• Model prediction suggest that another weak western disturbance is likely to approach over J&K region on 4th March 07

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,2/22/2007

• At present, a western disturbance is moving across over J&K and H.P. Under its influence scattered snowfall/rainfall is likely over J&K, H.P. and Uttaranchal during next 24-36 Hrs .

• The night temperatures are likely to fall by 2-3 °C over the plains of northwest India during next 24 hours then rise subsequently.

• Model prediction suggest that another western disturbance is likely to affect western Himalayan region during 24-25 February. Under influence of W.D., fairly widespread rainfall/snowfall is likely over J&K, H.P., Uttranchal during 24-26 Feb.,07 . Scattered thundershowers over Punjab, Rajasthan, Haryana and Uttar Pradesh during 25-26 Feb.,07.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,2/14/2007

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,2/13/2007

• Light to moderate snow fall has occurred at many places over western Himalayan region and light to moderate rain/thundershowers also occurred at many places over Indo Gangetic plains, central, east and northeast India during past 24 hrs.

• A Western disturbance lies over Haryana and neighborhood . Another cyclonic circulation lies over Jharkhand and adjoining area . Under the influences of both the systems J&K, H.P., Uttaranchal , Punjab, Haryana and north Rajasthan are likely to receive rainfall activities during next 2 days and reduce thereafter. Rainfall activity over U.P., Bihar, Jharkhand, west Bengal and NE states are likely to continue during next 2 days.

• Another W.D. is likely to affect NW India during around 18th February.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,2/12/2007

• Western disturbance(W.D.) has caused fairly widespread to wide spread snowfall/rainfall over NW India and Indogengetic plains during past 2-3 days. Now, the W.D. is moving away in eastward direction, but another westerly trough is in its rear which is likely to affect, causing rain over hilly regions of NW India and parts of adjoining plains in next 24-36 Hrs. and reduce thereafter. Rainfall activity over Bihar, Jharkhand, west Bengal and NE states are likely to continue during next 2 days.

• Model predictions suggest that with the western disturbance moving in eastward direction, day temperatures over NW India and Indogangetic plains are likely to increase towards normal from tomorrow. Night temperatures over NW India are likely to fall by about 4 degree C during next 3-4 days.

• Another W.D. is likely to affect NW India during around during 18-19 February.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,2/9/2007

• At present, a western disturbance lies over northwest India and an induced cyclonic circulation lies over south Pakistan and adjoining Rajasthan area. Model predictions suggest that both system are likely to move eastwards direction . Under its influence widespread with isolated heavy snowfall/rainfall are likely over J&K, H.P and Uttaranchal during next 2-3 days. Fairly widespread to widespread rainfall are also expected over Punjab, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar , Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgrah, Jharkhand , West Bengal and NE States during next 3-4 days.

• Night temperatures over NW India and Indo-Gangetic plains are likely to rise during next 2 days then it may fall subsequently.

• Light to moderate fog is likely to develop after passing of the present Western disturbance over Indo-Gangetic plains.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,2/8/2007

• Scattered rain is likely to occur over East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim from tomorrow for next 24-36 Hrs.

• Model predictions suggest that the night temperatures over NW India are likely to rise by about 4-5 degree during 9-10 February.

• At present, a western disturbance lies over Pakistan. Model predictions suggest that the western disturbance is likely to affect J&K, H.P and adjoining area during next 3-4 days with fairly widespread snowfall/rain over hilly regions and scattered rain/thundershowers over adjoining plains of NW India during 10-11Feb.07.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,2/7/2007

• Model predictions suggest a western disturbance is likely to affect north Pakistan and adjoining J&K area within next 24 Hrs. Under its influence, scattered snowfall/rain is expected over hilly regions of NW India and isolated light showers over adjoining plains during 6-7 Feb.07.

• Another western disturbance is likely to approach J&K and adjoining area during 9-10 Feb07 with scattered snowfall/rain over hilly regions and isolated showers over adjoining plains of NW India.

• North-eastern states are likely to receive isolated to scattered thundershowers during next 48 Hrs.

• Ongoing above normal night temperatures over Indogengetic plains of NW India are expected to continue during next 3-4 days.

• Light fog is likely to continue over many parts of Indogengetic plains of NW India, in the morning and evening hours during next 2-3 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,2/6/2007

• A western disturbance lies over J&K and adjoining area. It is likely to move slowly in eastward direction and cause scattered snowfall/rain is expected over hilly regions of NW India and isolated light showers over adjoining plains during next 24-36 Hrs.

• Model predictions suggest that another western disturbance is likely to affect J&K, H.P and adjoining area during 9-11 Feb07 with scattered snowfall/rain over hilly regions and isolated showers over adjoining plains of NW India.

• North-eastern states are likely to receive isolated to scattered thundershowers during next 48 Hrs.

• At present, night temperatures are above normal by 6-8 ºC over Rajasthan and Punjab and by 2-3 ºC over remaining parts of the plains of northwest India. Models suggests that similar scenario of night temperatures is likely with further rise of about 2 degree C during next 4-5 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,2/5/2007

• Model predictions suggest a western disturbance is likely to affect north Pakistan and adjoining J&K area within next 24 Hrs. Under its influence, scattered snowfall/rain is expected over hilly regions of NW India and isolated light showers over adjoining plains during 6-7 Feb.07.

• Another western disturbance is likely to approach J&K and adjoining area during 9-10 Feb07 with scattered snowfall/rain over hilly regions and isolated showers over adjoining plains of NW India.

• North-eastern states are likely to receive isolated to scattered thundershowers during next 48 Hrs.

• Ongoing above normal night temperatures over Indogengetic plains of NW India are expected to continue during next 3-4 days.

• Light fog is likely to continue over many parts of Indogengetic plains of NW India, in the morning and evening hours during next 2-3 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,2/4/2007

• A weak western disturbance is likely to move across J&K and adjoining area within next 24 Hrs. Under its influence light to moderate snowfall/rainfall are expected over J&K and Himachal Pradesh during next 24 Hrs.

• Model predictions suggest that another western disturbance is likely to approach north Pakistan and adjoining J&K area around from 6th February,2007. Under its influence scattered snowfall/rain is expected over hilly regions of NW India during 6-7 Feb07.

• North-eastern states are likely to receive isolated thundershowers during 6-7 Feb07.

• Light fog is likely to continue over many parts of Indogengetic plains of NW India, in the morning and evening hours during next 2-3 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,2/3/2007

• A weak western disturbance is likely to move across J&K and adjoining area within next 24-36 Hrs. Under its influence light to moderate snowfall/rainfall are expected over J&K and Himachal Pradesh during next 24-36Hrs.

• Model predictions suggest that another western disturbance is likely to approach north Pakistan and adjoining J&K area around from 6th February,2007. Under its influence scattered snowfall/rain is expected over hilly regions of NW India during 6-7 Feb07.

• North-eastern states are likely to receive isolated thundershowers during 6-7 Feb07.

• Light fog is likely to continue over many parts of Indogengetic plains of NW India, in the morning and evening hours during next 3-4 days.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,2/1/2007

• As predicted, scattered rain/thundershowers have occurred over northeastern States and isolated over adjoining east India during past 24 hrs. It is likely to continue during next 24 hrs.

• Model prediction suggest further fall in night temperatures over north , east and central India during next 2 days.

• A western disturbance is likely to approach north Pakistan and adjoining J&K area around 4th February .

• Lowest night temperature in the plains of the country was 4.5ºC recorded at Amritsar in Punjab.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,1/31/2007

• As predicted both day and night temperatures have fallen by 2-4 ºC over plains of northwest India. However, they still continue to remain above normal by 2-3ºC over the north India and by 4-6ºC over west, central & east India.

• Model prediction suggest that westerly and northwesterly winds is setting over northwest and central India . It may cause further fall in night and day temperatures over north , east and central India during next 2-3 days.

• A western disturbance is likely to approach north Pakistan and adjoining J&K area around 4th February .

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,1/30/2007

• Day and night temperatures continued to be 6-8 ºC above normal over most parts of northwest India and adjoining Central India.

• Model prediction suggest that westerly and northwesterly winds is likely to set over northwest and central India after 24 hrs. It may cause fall in night and day temperatures over north and central India during next 3-4 days.

• Lowest night temperature in the plains of the country was 7.4 ºC recorded at Amritsar in Punjab.

Weather Forecast

NCMRWF,1/26/2007

• Presently a western disturbance is moving across J&K and adjoining area. Model predictions suggest that isolate to scattered snowfall/rain is likely over hilly rgions of NW India during next 48 Hrs.

• Model predictions suggest that another western disturbance is likley to affect hilly regions and parts of adjoing plains during 30 -31Jan07.

• Ongoing scenario of night temepetratures (normal or above) are likely to continue during next 2-3 days. Therafter, sharp fall by about 3-4 degree C is expected to occur over NW India.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCRWF,1/25/2007

• Presently a western disturbance lies over J&K and adjoining area. It is likely to move north-eastwards direction . Under its influence, isolated to scattered snowfall activity is likely over Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh during next 2 days.

• As predicted night temperatures have increased by 2-4 ºC over plains of northwest India and by 1-2 ºC. over Gangetic plains and adjoining east & central India .The prevailing cold wave conditions over isolated pockets of Punjab, northeast Rajasthan, East Uttar Pradesh and adjoining northeast Madhya Pradesh, north Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand have abated.

• Model prediction suggest that another Western Disturbance is likely to approach J&K and adjoining area during 28-29 January, 2007.

Weather Forecast

NCMRWF,1/24/2007

• Presently a western disturbance lies over north Pakistan and adjoining J&K area. It is likely to move eastwards direction . Under its influence, scattered snowfall activity is likely over Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh during next 2-3 days. Isolated light rain may also occur over Uttaranchal, Punjab and Haryana after 24 hours.

• Numerical weather prediction models suggest that night temperatures over plains of northwest India and Indo-Gangetic plain are likely to rise by about 2-4 ºC during next 3 days. The prevailing cold wave conditions over isolated pockets of Punjab, northeast Rajasthan, East Uttar Pradesh and adjoining northeast Madhya Pradesh, north Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand are likely to abate by tomorrow.

• Lowest night temperature in the plains of the country was 0.5 ºC recorded at Amritsar in Punjab.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,1/23/2007

• As model predictions suggested, cold wave conditions prevailed over some parts of Punjab, northeast Rajasthan, East Uttar Pradesh and adjoining Bihar. The night temperatures are below normal by 2-3 ºC over remaining parts of Indo-Gangetic plains.

• Numerical weather prediction models suggest that night temperatures over plains of northwest India are likely to rise by about 3-4 ºC during the week. The prevailing cold wave conditions are likely to abate during next by 25th January.

• Another western disturbance is likely to affect hilly regions of NW India from 24th January07 evening. It may cause isolated to scattered snowfall/rains over hilly regions during 25-26 January.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,1/20/2007

• Yesterday’s western disturbance over J&K, H.P. and adjoining region is moving away in east-northeast ward direction. Under the influence of its moving away, snowfall/rains over J&K, H.P. and Uttranchal has reduced significantly.

• At present, both the day and night temperatures are normal or above normal over most parts of the country. There are no cold wave conditions over NW India and Indogengetc plains. Model predictions suggest that night temperatures may start falling from tonight during next 2 days by about 2-3 degree C.

• Fog over parts of Indogangetic plains, is likely to occur during next 3 days in morning & evening hours.

• Model predictions suggest that another western disturbance is likely to affect NW India during 23-24 January 2007. With this night temperatures over NW India will be rising from 23rd January

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,1/19/2007

• Yesterday’s western disturbance still lies over J&K, H.P. and adjoining region. Model predictions suggest that the W.D. is likely to move away in an eastward direction. Under the influence of its moving away, ongoing snowfall/rains over J&K, H.P. and Uttranchal is likely to reduce within 12-24 Hrs. and northwesterly winds are expected over NW India.

• Model predictions suggest that night temperatures may start falling after 24 Hrs.

• Fog is likely to occur over parts of Indogangetic plains, with the passage of western disturbance from tomorrow, in morning & evening hours.

• Model predictions suggest that another western disturbance is likely to affect NW India on 24th January 2007. With this night temperatures over NW India will be rising from 24th January

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,1/18/2007

• At present a western disturbance lies over J&K, H.P. and adjoining region. Model predictions suggest that this western disturbance is likely to cause scattered to fairly widespread snowfall/rains over J&K, H.P. and Uttranchal and isolated rainfall is expected over adjoining plains(Punjab, Haryana and west U.P) during next 2 days.

• With southwesterly winds over NW India, night temperatures have increased by 2-4 ºC over plains of northwest India and Rajasthan and by 1-2 ºC over Gangetic plains and abated cold wave conditions over parts of Punjab. But, cold wave conditions are still prevailing over some parts of East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and Jharkhand. Model predictions suggest that night temperatures may further rise by 2-3 ºC over Indo- Gangetic plains during next 24-48 Hrs. and start falling thereafter.

• Fog is likely to occur over many parts of Indogangetic plains, with the passage of western disturbance after 48 Hrs.

• Model predictions suggest that another western disturbance is likely to affect NW India around 24th January 2007.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,1/17/2007

• Cold wave conditions over some parts of Punjab, north Haryana, East Uttar Pradesh, adjoining Bihar and ground frost conditions over some parts of Punjab and north Haryana have been prevailing for past 10-11 days.

• Ongoing cold wave and ground frost conditions are likely to continue in next 12-24 Hrs. and abate thereafter due to increase in night temperature over plains of NW India.

• At present a western disturbance lies over Pakistan and adjoining . Model predictions suggest that this western disturbance is likely to affect western Himalayan region during next 2-3 days. Under its influence, scattered snowfall is expected over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttranchal from tomorrow for 48 Hrs.

• Night temperatures over plains of NW India are likely to fall with the western disturbance moving away of the western Himalayan region.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,1/16/2007

• Cold wave conditions have been prevailing over some parts of Punjab, north Haryana, East Uttar Pradesh and adjoining Bihar. Ground frost conditions are also prevailing over some parts of Punjab and north Haryana for past 10 days. The ongoing cold wave and ground frost conditions are likely to continue for next 24-48 Hrs. and abate thereafter due to gradual increase in night temperature.

• Model predictions suggest that a fresh western disturbance is likely to approach western Himalayan region by 18th evening and move slowly in an easterly direction. Under its influence, isolated to scattered snowfall is expected over Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh from 18th evening for subsequent two days.

Weather Forecast

NCMRWF,1/15/2007

• Yesterday’s western disturbance over NW India is moving in a NE direction. It is likely to become unimportant in next 24 Hrs. Subsequently, prevalence of northwesterly winds and their strengthening over Indo-Gangetic plains is likely. Under its influence, ongoing cold wave conditions over some parts of Punjab, north Haryana, East Uttar Pradesh and adjoining Bihar and ground frost conditions over some parts of Punjab and north Haryana are likely to prevail during next 2 days.

• Thereafter, night temperatures are likely to rise by 2-3 degree C over plains of NW India causing respite from cold wave conditions over many places of the region.

• Model predictions suggest that a fresh western disturbance is likely to affect western Himalayan region during 18-19 Jan 2007.

WEATHER FORECAST

NCMRWF,1/14/2007

• Cold wave conditions are prevailing over some parts of north Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, East Uttar Pradesh, adjoining north Madhya Pradesh and isolated pockets of Bihar and likely to abate during next 2-3 days. The ground frost conditions is prevailing over some parts of Punjab, Haryana, Delhi and north Rajasthan.

• Currently a western disturbance is lying over NW India. Numerical model predictions suggest the likely movement of WD in NE direction during next 24-36 hours. Subsequently prevalence of northwesterly winds and their strengthening over Indo-Gangetic plains is likely du